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Green Elephant Line Media Backgrounder

Luntz Poll Shows Broad Support for Grand Climate/Energy Bargain

February 3, 2010

In his State of the Union speech, President Obama called for "making tough decisions about opening new offshore areas for oil and gas development" and for "building a new generation of safe, clean nuclear power plants."

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, the scourge of oil, gas, and nuclear energy, stood up and applauded.

Oil, gas, and nuclear energy executives probably fell over from the shock. For Obama's movement in their direction, they have Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina to thank.

Graham, a conservative Republican, has gone out on a political limb in order to forge a bipartisan climate and energy deal that would put a price on carbon emissions. Such an agreement would rev up expanded use of clean, made-in-America energy technologies and back down America’s dangerous dependence on foreign oil.

Graham has made it clear to his fellow Republicans that in order to get the expanded offshore and nuclear energy development that they want in an energy package, they need to accept a cap on carbon emissions.

As Graham told a business leaders group on February 3: "I don't think you'll ever have energy independence the way I want it until you start dealing with carbon pollution and pricing carbon. The two are connected in my view - very much connected."

Obama has moved in Republicans' direction. Now, it’s congressional Republicans' turn to join with Graham and signal that they're willing to deal.

A climate and energy package that caps carbon emissions would enjoy broad public support, if citizens are convinced that it would create jobs and deliver greater energy security.

New public opinion data from Republican pollster Frank Luntz bears this out. His latest survey delivered the following bottom lines:

Americans understand the dangers of oil addiction and want to cut our country loose from OPEC's petro-despots.

They want more economic innovation that delivers more jobs. They want clean air.

If people are convinced that a cap-and-trade plan would deliver those goods, they're inclined to back it.

Regardless of whether they're Republicans or Democrats. Regardless of whether the scientists have it right or wrong on climate change.

A total of 57 percent said it is in America's interest to develop energy sources that are clean, reliable, efficient, and safe, regardless of whether climate change is happening or not. It's a "no-regrets" strategy – the right thing to do no matter what.

As Luntz put it: "Americans want clean, safe, healthy, secure energy. That's why Republicans and Democrats alike strongly support action to address climate change. Sure, Republicans are more concerned about the national security component and Democrats the health component, but support for action right now spans all partisan and ideological lines."

The Luntz survey shows that voters are more pragmatic than politicians and ideologues at both ends of the spectrum give them credit for. Americans want businesses to become more energy-efficient and to create jobs for Americans. They would support a cap-and-trade system to limit carbon pollution that rewards businesses for reducing emissions and holds them accountable if they don't.

Above all, voters want America to pursue energy independence, producing its own energy with reliable technology. The poll results show that the most attractive reason for supporting a climate cap-and-trade plan would be spurring development of clean, sustainable energy sources that free us from dependence on Middle Eastern energy.

Nearly half, or 48 percent, said ending America's dependence on foreign fuels should be the most important environmental and economic goal.

The message for Democrats in Congress is to work constructively with Republicans to draft climate and energy legislation fulfilling goals that a broad majority of Americans support.

The message for Republicans in Congress is to work constructively with Democrats to draft climate and energy legislation fulfilling goals that a broad majority of Americans support.