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Higher Temperatures, Higher Costs

August 28, 2009

Much of the rhetoric coming from opponents of climate legislation asserts that limiting greenhouse gas emissions inevitably would result in higher costs.

Some of this faction’s more zealous ideologues argue that more atmospheric CO2 would be a blessing: in their dreamy world, global heating will deliver lush gardens, long summers, and shirtsleeve vacations by the Bering Sea.

Snap back to reality in the Intermountain West. Fighting wildland fires costs money. Fighting big fires that threaten homes in remote, brushy canyons costs more money. Fighting big fires that come more frequently with higher temperatures costs still more money.

The combination of higher temperatures and increasing residential development in the backcountry will significantly increase the costs and dangers of wildland firefighting, according to a new study by Headwaters Economics, a non-profit research outfit that focuses on Western resource management issues.

The combustible mixture of rising temperatures and increasing backcountry development could quadruple wildland firefighting costs by 2025, Headwaters estimated. Using Montana’s fire history as a statistical foundation, the study found that the annual average cost of protecting homes from wildland fires was $28 million between 2003 and 2007.

Bring projected 2025 residential development in the wildland-urban interface forward to 2007 and costs would soar to nearly $40 million. Raise average spring and summer temperatures by 1 degree, and wildland firefighting costs zoom to between $61 million and $113 million.

Who pays? Mostly, the taxpayers. Between 2002 and 2006, federal agencies spent $6.2 billion putting out fires on Western public lands. Nearly 100 wildland firefighters paid the ultimate price. Despite firefighters’ best efforts, however, fire destroyed more than 10,000 homes during that period. In rugged, fire-prone terrain, some homes cannot be saved.

Greater responsibility for repairing this expensive state of affairs needs to be taken all the way around. Landowners should think twice about building in remote areas where protecting their homes from fire is unusually costly, difficult, and dangerous.

Local governments in the backcountry ought to put aside knee-jerk ideological notions about zoning and curb development that imposes costs and risks on others.

As for dealing with climate change, that responsibility falls on all of us at all levels, from household purchasing decisions to global treaty commitments.

Costs are a critical issue in the debate about climate change. Missing from much of the debate, however, is recognition of the costs of doing nothing. Long, hot summers on the fire lines bring those costs home.